Aptet Fitness
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"interpretation": {
"scoreMeaning": "The effective fit score after applying the conservative confidence penalty. Lower confidence reduces the effective fit score but does not, by itself, imply evidence of poor fit.",
"fitScopeMeaning": "Aptet fit is currently universe-conditioned: activation history and fit depend on the other members in the tested cross-sectional universe.",
"rawScoreMeaning": "The unadjusted Aptet-family fit estimate before applying the conservative confidence penalty.",
"activationMeaning": "Activation count measures how often the Aptet ranking would have selected the stock while risk-on.",
"confidenceMeaning": "Reflects the amount and breadth of historical evidence supporting the family-fit score.",
"algorithmFitMeaning": "Measures how consistently this stock works across the Aptet strategy family within this tested universe, not only under its single best parameter combination.",
"comboQualityMeaning": "Fixed-scale normalized profile quality derived from fitnessScore using sigmoid((fitnessScore - 0.35) / 0.22).",
"fitnessScoreMeaning": "Per-profile raw score used for diagnostics and ranking. Higher is better, but it is not the stock's overall Aptet-family fit.",
"forwardReturnMeaning": "Forward returns are measured from the close before activation through each requested horizon.",
"profileBreadthMeaning": "Measures how much of the tested Aptet parameter grid clears a robust quality threshold after weighting for sample confidence.",
"parameterStabilityMeaning": "Measures whether nearby Aptet parameter combinations retain a large share of the best profile's normalized quality.",
"confidenceAdjustmentMeaning": "The current conservative_penalty adjustment retains the existing formula: rawScore * confidence + rawScore * (1 - confidence) * 0.50."
},
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"strategyOptions": {
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},
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}Force Fitness
{
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"10": -0.006475820428226828
},
"shadowMaxDrawdown": -0.2346835490805348,
"shadowTotalReturn": -0.19670221799379461,
"avgForwardReturn1D": -0.0027871451414876835,
"riskOffActivations": 0,
"activationDatesSample": [
"2025-07-01",
"2025-07-03",
"2025-07-07",
"2025-07-08",
"2025-07-09",
"2025-07-10",
"2025-07-14",
"2025-07-16",
"2025-07-17",
"2025-07-18"
],
"horizonObservationCounts": {
"1": 68,
"5": 68,
"10": 68
},
"baselineAvgForwardReturns": {
"1": 0.0008880805103462704,
"5": 0.005247997349659647,
"10": 0.010703696436622789
}
}
],
"interpretation": {
"scoreMeaning": "The effective fit score after applying the conservative confidence penalty.",
"backendMeaning": "This Force evaluator uses the alpha1 backend logic that powers the current Force preview path.",
"fitScopeMeaning": "Force fit is currently universe-conditioned because the stock competes against the tested Force universe at each ranking step.",
"rawScoreMeaning": "The unadjusted Force-family fit estimate before the conservative confidence penalty.",
"algorithmFitMeaning": "Measures how consistently this stock works across the Force strategy family within this tested universe.",
"confidenceAdjustmentMeaning": "The current conservative_penalty adjustment retains the existing formula used by the shared family-fit core."
},
"lookbackSummary": [
{
"comboQuality": 0.16322700445596966,
"fitnessScore": -0.009570403361120985,
"lookbackDays": 14,
"returnLift1D": -0.00006277740220337901,
"activationRate": 0.34933333333333333,
"activationCount": 131,
"sampleConfidence": 1,
"bestPortfolioSize": 4,
"shadowTotalReturn": -0.025314221947745796,
"avgForwardReturn1D": 0.00010065226161269255
},
{
"comboQuality": 0.45292209354405993,
"fitnessScore": 0.30844836119348973,
"lookbackDays": 21,
"returnLift1D": 0.0009528709746323258,
"activationRate": 0.36684782608695654,
"activationCount": 135,
"sampleConfidence": 1,
"bestPortfolioSize": 4,
"shadowTotalReturn": 0.14670603682198102,
"avgForwardReturn1D": 0.0012699900219445817
},
{
"comboQuality": 0.1586857458893871,
"fitnessScore": -0.016968679403717518,
"lookbackDays": 30,
"returnLift1D": -0.00046066686574853274,
"activationRate": 0.2646239554317549,
"activationCount": 95,
"sampleConfidence": 1,
"bestPortfolioSize": 3,
"shadowTotalReturn": -0.04631621372188288,
"avgForwardReturn1D": -0.00023763086217700618
},
{
"comboQuality": 0.14923708437384062,
"fitnessScore": -0.03293140227214093,
"lookbackDays": 45,
"returnLift1D": 0.0007920289273217235,
"activationRate": 0.02616279069767442,
"activationCount": 9,
"sampleConfidence": 0.8189512162874653,
"bestPortfolioSize": 2,
"shadowTotalReturn": 0.00582422690926232,
"avgForwardReturn1D": 0.001365702825262543
},
{
"comboQuality": 0.05537062565400559,
"fitnessScore": -0.27408355324080086,
"lookbackDays": 63,
"returnLift1D": -0.005185841036455698,
"activationRate": 0.03680981595092025,
"activationCount": 12,
"sampleConfidence": 0.8760281680828159,
"bestPortfolioSize": 2,
"shadowTotalReturn": -0.05667106187816906,
"avgForwardReturn1D": -0.004297760526109427
}
],
"strategyOptions": {
"shadow": "Scores the stock like a standalone trade-only-when-active strategy.",
"blended": "Recommended. Mixes activation quality, activation frequency, return lift, and shadow performance.",
"coverage": "Rewards stocks that activate often without giving up too much quality.",
"precision": "Prioritizes hit rate and average return after activation."
},
"backendAlgorithm": "alpha1",
"universeIdentity": {
"hash": "1c755fc753a6a80efac46565816aaaa83155c008e76b60d46221c73072b1a71d",
"size": 13,
"members": [
"BOTZ",
"SMH",
"XLB",
"XLC",
"XLE",
"XLF",
"XLI",
"XLK",
"XLP",
"XLRE",
"XLU",
"XLV",
"XLY"
],
"version": 1
},
"scoreModeDescription": "Recommended. Mixes activation quality, activation frequency, return lift, and shadow performance."
}